Ulm vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1984 |
MSV
2 - 0
ULM
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1984 |
ULM
2 - 1
HAN
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
HER
1 - 0
ULM
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
ULM
1 - 0
OSN
55%
23%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
USO
4 - 2
ULM
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1984 |
SCF
1 - 0
S04
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1984 |
HES
0 - 0
SCF
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
SCF
1 - 1
SAA
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
ROT
1 - 0
SCF
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
SCF
3 - 3
BVL
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |