Ulm vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
KSC
5 - 0
ULM
75%
16%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
ULM
0 - 1
ROT
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
USO
6 - 2
ULM
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
DAR
2 - 1
ULM
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
VIK
0 - 0
ULM
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
SAA
1 - 1
ROT
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
SVS
4 - 0
SAA
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
SAA
4 - 1
OSN
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1986 |
SAL
3 - 3
SAA
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
SAA
0 - 0
STP
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |