Ulm vs Pforzheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
ULM
2 - 0
STU
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
WMI
0 - 1
ULM
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
ULM
7 - 1
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 24 | 41 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
ULM
3 - 2
KSC
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
SVS
3 - 0
ULM
15%
22%
63%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Pforzheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
PFO
0 - 2
STU
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
FVL
4 - 1
PFO
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
PFO
3 - 2
SDO
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
BON
5 - 2
PFO
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
FRE
2 - 2
PFO
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |