Ulm vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
NOR
1 - 2
ULM
20%
21%
59%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
ULM
2 - 0
SGS
82%
11%
6%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
ULM
5 - 1
ASV
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
FRE
1 - 1
ULM
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ULM
0 - 1
VFR
81%
12%
6%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 0
HEI
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 2
HOF
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
FCE
2 - 2
NOT
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 1
NOR
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
NOT
3 - 1
WAL
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |