Ulm vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.1%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
16%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7%
1.8%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ULM
0 - 1
LUD
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
STU
0 - 1
ULM
19%
23%
59%
|
66 | 28 | 38 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ULM
2 - 2
FVL
86%
11%
4%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
SDO
2 - 3
ULM
12%
21%
67%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
ULM
2 - 2
BON
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 27 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
NOT
2 - 0
STU
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
FVL
1 - 2
NOT
55%
24%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
NOT
2 - 0
SDO
50%
24%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
BON
1 - 0
NOT
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
NOT
2 - 1
FRE
36%
25%
38%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |