Ulm vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
WAL
0 - 1
ULM
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
SVS
1 - 1
ULM
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
ULM
2 - 1
STU
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
FRE
0 - 2
ULM
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 2
ULM
12%
20%
69%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 1
BAH
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
VFR
1 - 2
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
HEI
1 - 1
NOR
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
BON
2 - 3
NOR
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
LUD
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |