Ulm vs MTV Ingolstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
KSC
2 - 1
ULM
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
ULM
2 - 1
EIN
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
ULM
2 - 1
WUR
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
ULM
2 - 2
WWO
30%
30%
40%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
HOM
3 - 1
ULM
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
MTV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
MTV
0 - 2
WWO
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
HOM
4 - 0
MTV
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
MTV
2 - 0
SCF
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
RVO
3 - 1
MTV
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
MTV
1 - 2
SGF
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |