Ulm vs Koblenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 0
ULM
25%
26%
50%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
IDA
0 - 1
ULM
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
ULM
3 - 1
WWO
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FSV
0 - 2
ULM
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ULM
0 - 2
FRA
30%
23%
47%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Koblenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
KOB
1 - 1
SGS
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
KAI
0 - 4
KOB
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
KOB
1 - 1
BAY
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
ELV
4 - 1
KOB
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
KOB
0 - 0
HES
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |