Ulm vs Kirchheim/Teck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
ULM
3 - 1
SCN
83%
11%
6%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
BAY
3 - 1
ULM
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
ULM
4 - 2
OFC
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
VFR
2 - 1
ULM
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
ULM
1 - 1
REU
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchheim/Teck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
KIR
3 - 1
AUG
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
SCN
1 - 0
KIR
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
KIR
0 - 0
WEH
28%
26%
46%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
KIR
0 - 1
186
29%
26%
46%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1997 |
OFC
6 - 0
KIR
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |