Ulm vs Kehler FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
ULM
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ULM
2 - 1
REU
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
ULM
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
ULM
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ULM
1 - 1
STU
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kehler FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
KEH
1 - 4
SPI
23%
23%
54%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
KEH
0 - 2
BAH
27%
25%
49%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PFU
0 - 3
KEH
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
KEH
1 - 1
REU
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
RAV
0 - 0
KEH
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |