Ulm vs Karlsruher SC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
SVS
3 - 0
ULM
15%
22%
63%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
ULM
0 - 1
BAH
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
FRE
3 - 4
ULM
8%
17%
75%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
ULM
3 - 0
NOT
91%
7%
2%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ULM
0 - 1
LUD
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
KSC
1 - 2
STU
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
FVL
6 - 1
KSC
57%
24%
19%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
KSC
3 - 2
SDO
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
BON
2 - 0
KSC
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
KSC
1 - 2
FRE
28%
27%
45%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |