Ulm vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12º
17º
17º
38
2º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
38 | 64 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 56 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 46 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 34 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 25 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 16% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
17.5% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
55.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ULM
2 - 2
STU
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ING
1 - 1
ULM
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
UNT
1 - 3
ULM
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
ULM
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ULM
4 - 2
VER
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 0
MUN
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
OFC
1 - 3
KAI
10%
16%
75%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
F95
0 - 1
KAI
60%
21%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
QAR
1 - 3
KAI
41%
23%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 3
KAI
4%
11%
84%
|
78 | 33 | 45 | 0 |