Ulm vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
52.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
ULM
5 - 2
STP
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
VFE
1 - 2
ULM
33%
23%
44%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
SVS
2 - 0
ULM
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
ULM
4 - 4
KÖL
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
SCF
2 - 0
ULM
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
KOL
1 - 1
KAI
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
KAI
1 - 2
HSV
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1985 |
HAN
3 - 2
KAI
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
KAI
1 - 1
SAA
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
KAI
0 - 0
S04
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |