Ulm vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VFR
1 - 1
ULM
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ULM
2 - 0
VIL
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 3
ULM
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ULM
2 - 0
KEH
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AST
1 - 2
ULM
21%
24%
54%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 0
ILL
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ILL
4 - 0
REU
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SPI
5 - 1
ILL
25%
23%
53%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ILL
0 - 2
BAL
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ILL
0 - 1
NEC
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |