Ulm vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
ULM
1 - 1
WAL
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
SAA
0 - 0
ULM
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1981 |
OFC
1 - 0
ULM
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1981 |
ULM
2 - 2
FRE
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
ESV
1 - 3
ULM
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
HOM
2 - 0
FRE
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
OFC
2 - 0
HOM
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
HOM
2 - 1
ESV
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1981 |
SVS
3 - 1
HOM
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1981 |
HOM
1 - 1
BUR
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |