Ulm vs Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
ULM
22%
21%
57%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ULM
2 - 0
OBE
72%
16%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
KEH
0 - 2
ULM
19%
23%
57%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ULM
1 - 0
FRE
71%
16%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
STU
0 - 5
ULM
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HOL
3 - 0
GFR
79%
14%
8%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
5 - 0
HOL
38%
26%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -3 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 3
NOT
23%
23%
53%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
KSC
4 - 1
HOL
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PFU
0 - 3
HOL
15%
22%
64%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |