Ulm vs Hoffenheim II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
STU
1 - 2
ULM
14%
22%
65%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
ULM
1 - 5
REU
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
ULM
3 - 1
NOT
79%
13%
7%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
NOR
1 - 2
ULM
20%
21%
59%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
ULM
2 - 0
SGS
82%
11%
6%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
HOF
1 - 1
HEI
23%
23%
53%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
FCE
1 - 1
HOF
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
HOF
1 - 1
WAL
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 2
HOF
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
SVS
1 - 2
HOF
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |