Ulm vs Hoffenheim II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
9.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
ULM
3 - 0
LUD
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
KSC
3 - 1
ULM
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
ULM
0 - 1
NOR
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
WAL
0 - 1
ULM
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
SVS
1 - 1
ULM
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CRA
0 - 0
HOF
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
HOF
2 - 1
FRE
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
STU
2 - 0
HOF
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
HOF
0 - 4
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
VFR
0 - 0
HOF
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |