Ulm vs Hoffenheim II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
ULM
4 - 1
AJL
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
SVS
5 - 1
ULM
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ULM
0 - 2
FRE
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
ULM
0 - 2
REU
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CRA
3 - 1
ULM
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Hoffenheim II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
LUD
1 - 3
HOF
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
HOF
2 - 1
WEI
71%
18%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 1
HOF
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
HOF
3 - 2
LIN
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 0
HOF
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |