Ulm vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ELV
0 - 2
ULM
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
KOB
1 - 0
ULM
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
ULM
3 - 0
IDA
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
ULM
3 - 1
FSV
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
ULM
2 - 0
HOM
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
HES
0 - 3
SGS
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
KAI
0 - 0
HES
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HES
3 - 1
BAY
69%
18%
12%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
HES
1 - 3
KOB
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 2
HES
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |