Ulm vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1996 |
WAC
1 - 1
ULM
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
ULM
4 - 1
FSV
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
SVS
0 - 0
ULM
70%
18%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
SGF
1 - 1
ULM
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
ULM
3 - 0
DIT
67%
19%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
HES
1 - 1
DIT
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
DAR
1 - 1
HES
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
HES
4 - 1
SCN
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
AUG
0 - 0
HES
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
HES
2 - 1
BAY
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |