Ulm vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
SAA
2 - 0
ULM
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
RWL
3 - 2
ULM
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
ULM
3 - 2
ROT
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
BVL
0 - 0
ULM
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
ULM
2 - 0
SVS
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
HES
0 - 2
S04
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
HES
0 - 3
BYM
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
DAR
2 - 1
HES
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
SAA
1 - 3
HES
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
HES
3 - 2
ROT
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |