Ulm vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
ULM
1 - 1
HAN
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1999 |
UNT
2 - 0
ULM
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
ULM
2 - 2
KOL
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1999 |
ARB
5 - 0
ULM
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1998 |
ULM
1 - 5
KSC
27%
23%
50%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
GUT
1 - 0
SVS
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
HAN
4 - 1
GUT
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
GUT
2 - 0
KFC
50%
26%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
UNT
2 - 0
GUT
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
GUT
2 - 2
F95
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |