Ulm vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12º
17º
16º
26
4º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 64 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 46 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
40% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
37% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
18% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
40% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
42% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
ULM
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
ULM
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ULM
0 - 0
S04
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 1
ULM
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ULM
0 - 1
KSC
23%
23%
55%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SGF
2 - 3
KSC
28%
24%
49%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 0
SGF
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SGF
1 - 5
DAR
35%
25%
41%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
SGF
24%
22%
54%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
S04
3 - 4
SGF
44%
25%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |