Ulm vs Lauda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
REU
2 - 2
ULM
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ULM
13 - 0
FRE
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
CRA
2 - 2
ULM
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
ULM
3 - 1
BAH
83%
11%
5%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
BON
2 - 3
ULM
17%
22%
62%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
FVL
0 - 1
HEI
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
FCE
1 - 1
FVL
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
FVL
1 - 1
WAL
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
STU
4 - 2
FVL
50%
27%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
FVL
1 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |