Ulm vs Lauda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
VFR
2 - 2
ULM
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
ULM
3 - 2
CRA
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
ULM
4 - 2
REU
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
HEI
1 - 2
ULM
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2005 |
ULM
2 - 1
HOF
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
FVL
1 - 2
BAH
67%
20%
12%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
BON
1 - 0
FVL
37%
28%
35%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
FRE
1 - 2
FVL
65%
22%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
NOR
0 - 1
FVL
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
FVL
1 - 0
VFR
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |