Ulm vs Lauda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
KSC
2 - 0
ULM
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ULM
5 - 0
SVS
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
BAH
4 - 0
ULM
21%
26%
54%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ULM
4 - 2
FRE
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
NOT
4 - 0
ULM
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
FVL
3 - 0
SVS
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
WMI
2 - 0
FVL
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
FVL
1 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
KSC
1 - 0
FVL
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
FVL
2 - 0
SVS
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |