Ulm vs FSV Frankfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1981 |
HER
1 - 2
ULM
79%
13%
8%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
ULM
2 - 1
WOL
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
NUR
1 - 3
ULM
23%
21%
56%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
ULM
1 - 1
NUR
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
ULM
1 - 0
ESV
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FSV Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1981 |
WWO
0 - 2
FSV
57%
22%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
FSV
2 - 0
GOH
92%
6%
2%
|
59 | 10 | 49 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
FSV
2 - 0
VLW
28%
22%
50%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +2 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
FSV
5 - 3
AUG
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1981 |
HES
1 - 0
FSV
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |