Ulm vs FSV Frankfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1978 |
VHG
0 - 6
ULM
38%
23%
39%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
NEC
3 - 1
ULM
13%
19%
67%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
OFC
3 - 1
ULM
79%
13%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
ULM
2 - 1
HES
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
SVS
3 - 1
ULM
66%
17%
17%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FSV Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
FSV
4 - 1
MTV
65%
20%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
MUN
3 - 0
FSV
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
FSV
3 - 2
BNE
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
KSC
2 - 1
FSV
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
FCH
5 - 1
FSV
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |