Ulm vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2009 |
HES
3 - 0
ULM
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
ULM
3 - 0
186
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
EIN
1 - 0
ULM
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
VIK
0 - 0
ULM
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ULM
3 - 4
PFU
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2009 |
FRE
4 - 2
PFU
35%
26%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
NUR
3 - 0
FRE
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 0
KSC
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
UNT
1 - 4
FRE
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FRE
3 - 1
WEH
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |