Ulm vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
BON
2 - 0
ULM
21%
26%
54%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
ULM
0 - 3
STU
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
REU
1 - 2
ULM
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ULM
2 - 2
NOT
81%
13%
7%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
ULM
1 - 2
FVL
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
LUD
0 - 2
FRE
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FRE
3 - 2
WEI
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
KSC
1 - 0
FRE
34%
27%
40%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
FRE
2 - 1
LIN
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 1
FRE
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |