Ulm vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
VFR
0 - 1
ULM
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ULM
4 - 1
AAL
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
KPF
1 - 1
ULM
16%
20%
65%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SPI
2 - 1
ULM
38%
24%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
ULM
2 - 2
PFU
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 2
HOL
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
KSC
1 - 1
FRE
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FRE
0 - 0
VIL
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 3
BAH
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
REU
1 - 2
FRE
33%
23%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |