Ulm vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
ULM
0 - 2
REU
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CRA
3 - 1
ULM
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
ULM
1 - 0
WAL
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
FRE
2 - 0
ULM
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
ULM
2 - 0
BON
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LUD
1 - 1
FRE
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
WEI
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 0
FRE
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 0
LIN
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 3
FRE
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |