Ulm vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1985 |
SCF
2 - 0
ULM
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
ULM
2 - 3
MSV
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1985 |
FCN
3 - 2
ULM
73%
17%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1985 |
ULM
1 - 4
HAN
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1985 |
OFC
2 - 2
ULM
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1985 |
KÖL
2 - 1
WAT
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
AAA
1 - 0
KÖL
46%
25%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1985 |
KÖL
4 - 1
ROT
62%
21%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1985 |
STP
1 - 1
KÖL
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1985 |
KÖL
4 - 2
DAR
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |