Ulm vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1984 |
AAA
3 - 1
ULM
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
ULM
1 - 1
WAT
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1984 |
KSC
6 - 0
ULM
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
ULM
1 - 4
SCF
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 1984 |
MSV
2 - 0
ULM
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1984 |
KÖL
0 - 2
S04
47%
24%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
HES
2 - 0
KÖL
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1984 |
KÖL
1 - 2
SAA
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
ROT
3 - 0
KÖL
24%
25%
50%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1984 |
KÖL
2 - 0
BVL
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |