DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 0-3
Ulm vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
ULM
3 - 1
TSN
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
RTV
3 - 1
ULM
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
ULM
1 - 0
FSV
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1981 |
HER
1 - 2
ULM
79%
13%
8%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
ULM
2 - 1
WOL
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
KÖL
4 - 2
TSN
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
USO
2 - 2
KÖL
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
KÖL
1 - 1
WAL
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
OSN
4 - 2
KÖL
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
KÖL
2 - 0
MSV
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |