Ulm vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
74.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ULM
0 - 2
HOM
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
HES
3 - 1
ULM
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
ULM
2 - 2
EIN
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
FRE
3 - 0
ULM
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 3
ULM
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 2
FCN
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FCN
0 - 0
ERZ
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FCN
3 - 2
MUN
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
FCN
0 - 0
KRA
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 3
FCN
33%
24%
43%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |