Ulm vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
SVS
2 - 4
ULM
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
ULM
2 - 3
REU
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
WAL
5 - 0
ULM
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ULM
2 - 0
RWA
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
FCN
1 - 2
ULM
68%
19%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
FCN
2 - 4
STU
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
COT
1 - 0
FCN
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
FCN
2 - 0
SCF
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
BVB
2 - 0
FCN
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
FCN
1 - 2
STP
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |