Ulm vs FC Emmendingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 1
ULM
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
ULM
0 - 3
SVS
68%
18%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
ULM
1 - 0
FRE
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
HOF
2 - 3
ULM
28%
24%
49%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ULM
4 - 1
STU
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Emmendingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
FCE
0 - 3
HEI
16%
21%
64%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
FCE
0 - 2
CRA
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
FCE
1 - 2
NOR
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 0
FCE
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FCE
1 - 5
SVS
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |