Ulm vs Bayern München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
ULM
5 - 0
HES
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
ULM
0 - 2
S04
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1996 |
SGF
2 - 0
ULM
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1996 |
FRA
0 - 1
ULM
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
ULM
0 - 0
SVS
75%
16%
10%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1996 |
BAY
2 - 1
SGF
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
SCW
2 - 2
BAY
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1996 |
BAY
1 - 0
DIT
40%
26%
35%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
DAR
1 - 1
BAY
59%
22%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1996 |
BAY
1 - 0
SCN
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |