Ulm vs Bayern München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1994 |
SVL
2 - 4
ULM
22%
28%
51%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
ULM
1 - 2
AUG
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 1994 |
VFR
2 - 2
ULM
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1994 |
ULM
1 - 0
FCN
29%
24%
48%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 1994 |
ULM
2 - 3
DIT
82%
12%
6%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | -2 |
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
BAY
3 - 2
VES
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1994 |
BAY
1 - 0
SVS
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1994 |
SGF
0 - 3
BAY
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
BAY
2 - 1
BRE
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1994 |
HES
0 - 2
BAY
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |