Ulm vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
HES
0 - 0
ULM
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1981 |
ULM
3 - 0
SGF
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1981 |
ULM
2 - 2
SCF
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
DAR
1 - 1
ULM
73%
16%
10%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1981 |
ULM
5 - 0
FSV
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
AUG
1 - 1
FRE
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1981 |
EPP
1 - 1
AUG
57%
20%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1981 |
OFC
4 - 1
AUG
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
AUG
1 - 1
ESV
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1981 |
SVS
3 - 0
AUG
81%
13%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |