Ulm vs Darmstadt 98 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
HES
1 - 1
ULM
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
186
1 - 1
ULM
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ULM
2 - 1
WEI
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
BAY
0 - 3
ULM
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
WEH
0 - 0
ULM
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
SVS
1 - 1
DAR
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
DAR
0 - 1
FRE
32%
25%
42%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
DAR
2 - 0
186
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +4 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
REU
2 - 1
DAR
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
WEI
1 - 0
DAR
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |