Ulm vs Darmstadt 98 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 2
ULM
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ULM
0 - 0
HEI
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
REU
1 - 2
ULM
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
ULM
3 - 2
VIL
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
HOF
1 - 0
ULM
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
WAL
2 - 1
DAR
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
DAR
0 - 0
PFU
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
NUR
4 - 0
DAR
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
DAR
1 - 4
KSC
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
DAR
0 - 2
WEH
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +1 |