Ulm vs Darmstadt 98 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
ULM
3 - 4
KAI
25%
23%
53%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
ULM
5 - 2
STP
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
VFE
1 - 2
ULM
33%
23%
44%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
SVS
2 - 0
ULM
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
ULM
4 - 4
KÖL
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1986 |
DAR
0 - 2
HOM
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1986 |
EBT
1 - 2
DAR
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
DAR
1 - 0
ROT
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
SVS
4 - 0
DAR
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
DAR
0 - 0
USO
58%
21%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |