Ulm vs Darmstadt 98 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
HOM
3 - 1
ULM
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
ULM
0 - 1
USO
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
ULM
4 - 1
BUR
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
WAT
2 - 1
ULM
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
ULM
3 - 1
AAA
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
DAR
1 - 4
WAT
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
AAA
2 - 0
DAR
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
DAR
2 - 1
ROT
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
STP
3 - 0
DAR
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
DAR
4 - 1
BWB
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |