Ulm vs Darmstadt 98 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
MTV
2 - 1
ULM
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
ULM
2 - 1
KSC
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
EIN
0 - 0
ULM
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1980 |
ULM
1 - 1
BUR
58%
23%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1980 |
WUR
0 - 4
ULM
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
DAR
3 - 0
WWO
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
HOM
0 - 0
DAR
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
DAR
2 - 0
SCF
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1980 |
DAR
2 - 1
SAA
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1980 |
FRE
4 - 2
DAR
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |