Ulm vs Crailsheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2006 |
ULM
1 - 2
HEI
60%
20%
20%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
FCE
0 - 1
ULM
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
ULM
3 - 0
WAL
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
SVS
0 - 1
ULM
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
LIN
0 - 1
ULM
10%
19%
71%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Crailsheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2006 |
CRA
3 - 1
SGS
47%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
HEI
1 - 0
CRA
75%
15%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
FRE
1 - 0
CRA
63%
20%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CRA
1 - 1
FCE
63%
20%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
VFR
1 - 1
CRA
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |