Ulm vs Crailsheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
HEI
0 - 0
ULM
47%
23%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ULM
5 - 0
FCE
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 1
ULM
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
ULM
0 - 3
SVS
68%
18%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
ULM
1 - 0
FRE
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crailsheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
SGS
1 - 3
CRA
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
CRA
3 - 2
HEI
22%
23%
55%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
CRA
0 - 1
FRE
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
FCE
0 - 2
CRA
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
HOF
5 - 3
CRA
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |