Ulm vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1992 |
ULM
2 - 1
NEU
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
ULM
1 - 4
FCN
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
ULM
0 - 1
STP
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1988 |
SVS
1 - 3
ULM
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +2 |
| 18 May. 1988 |
ULM
2 - 2
DAR
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1992 |
WAT
1 - 3
BVB
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1992 |
BVB
7 - 2
FLO
95%
4%
1%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1992 |
BVB
1 - 2
BYM
45%
24%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1992 |
KOL
0 - 1
BVB
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1992 |
FLO
0 - 1
BVB
6%
14%
80%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |